- Home
- Departments
- Community Development
- Planning
- Population and Build-Out
- Population Projections
Summit County Population Projections
Looking forward 15-20 years, it is almost certain that some amount of population growth will take place in Summit County. According to Jonathan Schechter, Executive Director of the Charture Institute, Summit County and similar resort communities (including Eagle, Pitkin, Routt, and San Miguel counties) are growing and continue to change more rapidly than the nation as a whole. As noted by Schechter, factors enabling more and more people to move to resort based communities include:
Source: U.S. Census Bureau and state demographer.
Below is a breakdown of population growth rates that summarizes the projected population changes that could occur between 2010 and 2030. These numbers are based on population projections prepared by the State Demographer since the 2010 U.S. Census:
- Improved technology and the increased ability for telecommuting
- Broader, more diverse economic considerations (e.g. personal income generated from more diverse sources, including a growing percentage from investments)
- Changes in transportation (i.e., the increased ease of air travel and freight)
- America’s values and customs, which are becoming increasingly aligned with what resort communities have to offer (e.g., healthy environment, abundant recreational opportunities).
- The assumptions that are used change (e.g., estimated occupancy rates, estimated number of persons per household, etc.)
- The transient nature of the county’s permanent resident population
- The large number of second homes and investment properties in the county
- The implications of aging baby boomers potentially converting their second homes into permanent residences
- Fluctuating economic conditions, which impact local employment opportunities and home values.
Summit County - Projected Permanent Resident Population Growth |
|||
---|---|---|---|
Time Frame/Years |
Percent Change |
New Residents Added |
Projected Ending Population |
2010 - 2015 |
9.6% |
2,674 | 30,668 |
2015 - 2020 |
14.8% |
4,553 | 35,221 |
2020 - 2025 |
12.7% |
4,481 | 39,702 |
2025 - 2030 |
10.1% |
4,000 | 43,702 |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau and state demographer.
2010 - 2030 Permanent Resident Population Growth Trends Summary
Below is a breakdown of population growth rates that summarizes the projected population changes that could occur between 2010 and 2030. These numbers are based on population projections prepared by the State Demographer since the 2010 U.S. Census:
- 15,708 new permanent residents in 20 years (2010 - 2030)
- 785 new permanent residents per year
- 65 new permanent residents per month
- Approximately two new permanent residents per day